Regional assessment of climate risks using GIS technologies (on the example of the Belgorod Region)

DOI: 10.35595/2414-9179-2020-1-26-271-278

View or download the article (Rus)

About the Authors

Yuri G. Chendev

Belgorod State University,
Pobedy str., 85, 308015, Belgorod, Russia;
E-mail: chendev@bsu.edu.ru

Maria G. Lebedeva

Belgorod State University,
Pobedy str., 85, 308015, Belgorod, Russia;
E-mail: lebedeva_m@bsu.edu.ru

Olga V. Krymskaya

Belgorod State University,
Pobedy str., 85, 308015, Belgorod, Russia;
E-mail: krymskaya@bsu.edu.ru

Maria A. Petina

Belgorod State University,
Pobedy str., 85, 308015, Belgorod, Russia;
E-mail: petina_m@bsu.edu.ru

Abstract

The ongoing climate change requires a quantitative assessment of the impact of weather conditions on the nature and livelihoods of the population. However, to date, the concept of “climate risk” has not been finally defined, and the corresponding terminology is not universally recognized. One manifestation of climate change is an increase in climate variability and extremeness in many regions. At the same time, modern statistics indicate growing worldwide damage from dangerous weather and climate events.

The most widely used in climate services is the concept of “Vulnerability index”, which reflects a combination (with or without weighing) of several indicators that indicate the potential damage that climate change can cause to a particular sector of the economy. development of adaptation measures to ensure sustainable development of territories. The main criterion for the vulnerability of the territory from the point of view of meteorological parameters is the extremeness of the basic values: daily air temperature, daily precipitation, maximum wind speed. To fully take into account the possible impacts of extreme climatic conditions on the region’s economy, it is necessary to detail the weather and climate risks taking into account the entire observation network, since significant differences in quantitative assessment are possible.

The obtained average regional values of the climate vulnerability indices for the Belgorod Region of the Russian Federation provide 150 points for the winter period, 330 points for the summer season, which indicates the prevalence of extreme weather conditions in the warm season. Most of the territory has a relative influence on climatic phenomena, with the exception of the East and the Southeast Region. Moreover, the eastern part of the region is the most vulnerable in climatic terms.

Keywords

climate change, weather anomalies, weather risks, recurrence of extreme events, statistical distributions

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For citation: Chendev Yu.G., Lebedeva M.G., Krymskaya O.V., Petina M.A. Regional assessment of climate risks using GIS technologies (on the example of the Belgorod Region). InterCarto. InterGIS. GI support of sustainable development of territories: Proceedings of the International conference. Moscow: Moscow University Press, 2020. V. 26. Part 1. P. 271–278. DOI: 10.35595/2414-9179-2020-1-26-271-278 (in Russian)