Mapping of the distribution of active tuberculosis incidence on the territory of the Crimean Peninsula

DOI: 10.35595/2414-9179-2020-3-26-26-38

View or download the article (Rus)

About the Authors

Elena A. Prokhorova

Moscow State University named after M.V. Lomonosov,
Leninskie Gory, 1, 119991, Moscow, Russia,
E-mail: eaprohorova@mail.ru

Vladimir N. Semin

Moscow State University named after M.V. Lomonosov,
Leninskie Gory, 1, 119991, Moscow, Russia,
E-mail: vnsemin@mail.ru

Alexandra V. Morozova

Moscow State University named after M.V. Lomonosov,
Leninskie Gory, 1, 119991, Moscow, Russia,
E-mail: aleksandra.v.morozova@yandex.ru

Abstract

This study is conducted to analyze spatial distribution of tuberculosis (TB) incidence in the Crimean peninsula and is due to the further development of a solution to this issue, since, despite the fact that there is a decrease in the incidence of tuberculosis on the peninsula, the Republic of Crimea remains today one of the disadvantaged regions of our country. According to official statistics, the total incidence of tuberculosis in 2018 was 51 per 100 thousand people.

The risk of developing tuberculosis depends on a number of factors — environmental, economic, social and others. In order to show and evaluate the spatial distribution, intensity, localization and concentration of the phenomenon in certain areas an analysis using cartographic and statistical methods is needed.

The purpose of the article is, through the processing of statistical and analytical source data of certain time slices, to show on maps the totality of factors that can affect the dynamics of the incidence of tuberculosis and the spread of patients in a specific territory — the Crimean Peninsula, and also to identify the most significant of these factors.

The work provides a statistical study of the incidence rates of active tuberculosis in combination with the demographic characteristics of the Crimean Federal District. The quantitative characteristic of these is presented in the form of tables, graphs and cartographic images. The revealed statistical regularities make it possible to see those features of the development of the studied parameters that usually slip away with only one mapping, and to predict the situation for the future.

Keywords

active tuberculosis, GIS techniques, statistical methods, risk factors

References

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For citation: Prokhorova E.A., Semin V.N., Morozova A.V. Mapping of the distribution of active tuberculosis incidence on the territory of the Crimean Peninsula. InterCarto. InterGIS. GI support of sustainable development of territories: Proceedings of the International conference. Moscow: Moscow University Press, 2020. V. 26. Part 3. P. 26–38. DOI: 10.35595/2414-9179-2020-3-26-26-38 (in Russian)