View or download the article (Rus)
About the Authors
Tatyana P. Varshanina
13, Gagarina str., Maykop, Russia, 385000,
E-mail: vtp01@mail.ru
Olga A. Plisenko
13, Gagarina str., Maykop, Russia, 385000,
E-mail: olg.plisenko2017@yandex.ru
Elena P. Sviridova
13, Gagarina str., Maykop, Russia, 385000,
E-mail: lenor-agy@yandex.ru
Abstract
The relevance of landscape-climatic zoning of geoinformation regional space for research and forecasting of climate variability and change for preventive adaptation to weather-climatic impacts of regional socio-economic life activity is confirmed. In Adygea, based on the complex of physiographic and hydroclimatic characteristics 9 landscape-climatic meso-districts and, within them, 17 districts corresponding to plain, low-altitude and middle-altitude belts are identified. Further microclimatic zoning is envisaged. The GIS database of Adygea accumulates and spatially details information on climatic conditions, climate-forming factors, main hydrometeorological characteristics and recurrence of especially dangerous phenomena. The development of GIS-module for monitoring trends in climate variability and change was preceded by testing of appropriate methods in the conditions of the declared detailed landscape-climatic zoning of the territory. Comparison of the results of the study of trends in climate variability and change made by the authors using instrumental observations and the reanalysis method shows the low spatial and temporal resolution of the reanalysis method. The reanalysis did not show any significant difference between the identified landscape-climatic meso-districts in terms of the magnitude of trends in meteorological values both in the multiyear and intra-annual course, it also did not reveal any sharp changes in the multiyear course of mean monthly air temperature in them. The obtained results confirm that the module for monitoring of tendencies of climate variability and change, on the basis of instrumental data with forecasting on periods corresponding to natural 20-year periodicity of climate variability, is required in GIS “Passport of climate safety of Adygea”.
Keywords
References
- Atlas of the Republic of Adygeya. Maikop: Center for geoinformation technologies of ASU, 2005. 79 p. (in Russian).
- Borzenkova I.I. Climate change in the Cenozoic. Saint-Petersburg: Gidrometeoizdat, 1992. 247 p. (in Russian).
- Compo G.P., Whitaker I.S., Sardeshmukh P.D., Matsui N., Allan R.J., Yin X., Gleason B.E., Vose R.S., Rutledge G., Bessemoulin P., Brönnimann S., Brunet M., Crouthamel R.I., Grant A.N., Groisman P.Y., Jones P.D., Kruk M., Kruger A.C., Marshall G.J., Maugeri M., Mok H.Y., Nordli D., Ross T.F., Trigo R.M., Wang X.L., Woodruff S.D., Worley S.J. The twentieth century reanalysis project. Q J R Meteorol. Soc., 2011. No. 137. P. 1–28. DOI: 10.1002/qj.776.
- Giese B.S., Seidel H.F., Compo G.P., Sardeshmukh P.D. An ensemble of ocean reanalyses for 1815–2013 with sparse observational input. J Geophys. Res. Oceans, 2016. No. 121. P. 6891–6910. DOI: 10.1002/2016JC012079.
- Gruza G.V., Rankova E.Y. Observed and Expected Climate Changes in Russia: Air Temperature. Obninsk: Federal state educational institution All-Russian Scientific Research Institute of Hydrometeorological Information, World Data Center, 2012. 194 p. (in Russian).
- Kostianoy A.G., Serykh I.V., Lebedev S.A., Kostianaia E.A., Varshanina T.P. Regional climate change in the Republic of Adygea. Springer International Publishing AG, Cham, Switzerland, 2020. P. 311–358. DOI: 10.1007/698_2021_734.
- Panov B.N., Spiridonova E.O. Climatic changes of the surface atmospheric pressure field in the Azov-Black Sea region (1960–2017). Izvestiya Vuzov. Severo-Kavkazskii region. Natural science (News of higher educational institutions. North Caucasus region. Series: Natural Sciences), 2019. No. 2 (202). P. 66–73 (in Russian). DOI: 10.23683/0321-3005-2019-2-66-73.
- Slivinski L.C., Compo G.P., Whitaker J.S., Sardeshmukh P.D., Giese B.S., McColl C., Allan R., Yin X., Vose R., Titchner H., Kennedy J., Spencer L.J., Ashcroft L., Brönnimann S., Brunet M., Camuffo D., Cornes R., Cram T.A., Crouthamel R., Domínguez-Castro F., Freeman J.E., Gergis J., Hawkins E., Jones P.D., Jourdain S., Kaplan A., Kubota H., Le Blancq F., Lee T., Lorrey A., Luterbacher J., Maugeri M., Mock C.J., Moore G.K., Przybylak R., Pudmenzky C., Reason C., Slonosky V.C., Smith C., Tinz B., Trewin B., Valente M.A., Wang X.L., Wilkinson C., Wood K., Wyszynski P. Towards a more reliable historical reanalysis: improvements for version 3 of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis system. Q J R Meteorol Soc., 2019. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3598.
- Solomon S., Qin D., Manning M., Chen Z., Marquis M., Averyt K.B., Tignor M., Miller H.L. Technical Summary. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, United Kingdom; New York, USA: Cambridge Univ. Press, 2007. 91 p.
- Torrence D.C., Compo G.P. A practical guide to wavelet analysis. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 1998. V. 79. Iss. 1. P. 61–78. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0477(1998)079<0061:APGTWA>2.0.CO;2.
- Varshanina T.P., Mitusov D.V. Climatological Resources of Landscapes of the Republic of Adygea. Maykop: Publishing House of Adyghe State University, 2005. 237 p. (in Russian).
For citation: Varshanina T.P., Plisenko O.A., Sviridova E.P GIS “Passport of climatic safety of the Republic of Adygea”. InterCarto. InterGIS. Moscow: MSU, Faculty of Geography, 2024. V. 30. Part 1. P. 232–241. DOI: 10.35595/2414-9179-2024-1-30-232-241 (in Russian)